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Analysis: 12 Percent of Bernie Sanders’ Supporters Backed Donald Trump in 2016; Predictions for Robert Kennedy Jr.’s Supporters in 2024


Before dropping out of the race, Kennedy was polling at about 5 percent nationally. In 2020,

158.4 million people voted, and so 5 percent of that would be about 7.9 million, not as many as supported Sanders in the 2016 primary, but then again, Sanders never endorsed Trump. In the five-way race, in Wisconsin, Kennedy was averaging 5 percent, in Michigan, he was averaging 5.8 percent and in Pennsylvania, Kennedy was average 4.4 percent. Those voters are now up for grabs. Trump could see another wave of defections coming his way.

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