The mere presence of Tim Scott on the GOP ticket would consolidate the recent rightward
shift of black voters. They are marching toward Trump. Scott would solidify and enhance the 20 percent or so of the black vote that consistently has backed Trump in polls since last fall. Trump-Scott could secure 25 percent of the black vote; 35 percent no longer seems beyond imagination. If that many black Americans also vote GOP downballot, Republicans should keep the House and capture the Senate from New York’s Chuck Schumer and the Biden Democrats.